Author Topic: Tier 1 Wrap up  (Read 185 times)

Pirates LW

  • Larry Waters
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Tier 1 Wrap up
« on: 3 Mar 2018 9:15:09 PM »
With the close of T1, I collected the T1 winning bids for the past 10 seasons. 2018 T1 set a few records for spending and it wasn't particularly close.

Year     Total Value of Contracts (in millions)
2009         $438.6
2010         $908.2
2011         $802.8
2012         $595.9
2013        $1216.6
2014        $1214.4
2015        $1262.3
2016         $676.1
2017         $470.0
2018       $1718.0

Total Value is the AAV of each contract multiplied by the years of the contract.

Year     Average AAV (in millions)
2009         $14.37
2010         $12.93
2011         $11.71
2012         $10.19
2013        $14.03
2014        $17.29
2015        $17.92
2016         $13.52
2017         $11.57
2018        $25.55

Whether you look at total dollar committed or the average AAV, 2018 leads the pack.

Year     Avg Contract Length
2009         1.9yrs
2010         3.5
2011         3.7
2012         3.6
2013         4.9
2014         4.3
2015         4.1
2016         2.8
2017         2.7
2018         3.9

In 2009, 9 of the 15 Tier 1 contracts were 1 year. That's pretty much what caused draft pick compensation to go away. Overall since 2009, 62% of T1 deals were 2, 3 or 4 year offers.

Only 13 players have gone through T1 more than one time. Only two players went through T1 three times. They were Big Papi and Jorge Posada.

« Last Edit: 4 Mar 2018 10:51:30 AM by Pirates LW »
Larry Waters
Assistant General Manager, Pittsburgh Pirates


Avoiding disasters with occasional brilliance

Pirates LW

  • Larry Waters
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Re: Tier 1 Wrap up
« Reply #1 on: 4 Mar 2018 10:50:37 AM »
Top 5 and Bottom 5 Tier 1 spenders by franchise. Ranked by Total Dollars offered (in millions)

Top Five
1. Seattle: 7 contracts $1,201.7
2. NY Yankees: 9 contracts $799.7
3. Oakland A's: 6 contracts $620.7
4. Boston: 5 contracts $547.5
5. SF Giants: 6 contracts $401.7

Bottom Five
26. Tampa Bay: 5 contracts $153.2
27. Houston: 3 contracts $153.1
28. Baltimore: 4 contracts $148.6
29. Pittsburgh: 2 contracts $104 (both this year)
30. Arizona: 4 contracts $101.4
Larry Waters
Assistant General Manager, Pittsburgh Pirates


Avoiding disasters with occasional brilliance

Royals JC

  • Jon Carney
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Re: Tier 1 Wrap up
« Reply #2 on: 4 Mar 2018 11:43:10 AM »
I thought perhaps this season was an aberration, and in terms of money it's very possible it is, but next year looks like a solid Tier 1 class as well on my first glance.  There are 15-18 players that I would view as high priority.  Win Shares will probably only give us 10 of those along with 5 'meh' relievers.  The EC will be able to switch out as many as 3 players like always, but my guess is we end up with 12-13 above average to fantastic players to bid on in Tier 1 next year.

A few possible headliners pending any other LTC signed before Tier 3 begins:

Alex Cobb
Brandon Crawford
Gio Gonzalez
Clayton Kershaw
Giancarlo Stanton
Stephen Strasburg
Jon Carney - Kansas City Royals GM

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