Author Topic: 2018 Royals  (Read 319 times)

Royals JC

  • Jon Carney
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2018 Royals
« on: 12 Sep 2017 4:11:47 PM »
The Rotation: (ZiPS in bold)
1. Luis Severino - YOS 3 (187.0 IP, 138 ERA+, 68 FIP-, 4.7 WAR)
2. Aaron Nola - YOS 2 (178.7 IP, 125 ERA+, 72 FIP-, 4.3 WAR)
3. Adam Wainwright - 2019 (127.7 IP, 99 ERA+, 90 FIP-, 1.6 WAR)
4. Sal Romano - R (143.3 IP, 97 ERA+, 97 FIP-, 1.7 WAR)
5. Steven Wright - YOS 4 (102.3 IP, 95 ERA+, 115 FIP-, 0.9 WAR)
6. Mike Bolsinger - YOS 4 (95.3 IP, 93 ERA+, 108 FIP-, 0.9 WAR)
7. Matt Harvey - LTC 2018* (114.3 IP, 85 ERA+, 100 FIP-, 0.7 WAR)

The rotation is set outside of deciding who the 5th starter is between Wright/Bolsinger/Harvey.  We have a really fantastic 1-2 punch, but after that we are hoping for a strong sim from Wainwright and Romano.

The Bullpen: (ZiPS in bold)
Spot Starter: Mike Bolsinger - YOS 4 (95.3 IP, 93 ERA+, 108 FIP-, 0.9 WAR)
MR: Chasen Shreve* - YOS 2 (56.7 IP, 112 ERA+, 83 FIP-, 0.6 WAR)
MR: Shane Greene - YOS 2 (4.04 FIP)
MR: Alex Colome - YOS 5 (66.7 IP, 116 ERA+, 83 FIP-, 1.1 WAR)
SU: Adam Liberatore* - YOS 3 (38.0 IP, 124 ERA+, 76 FIP-, 0.6 WAR)
SU: C.J. Edwards - YOS 3 (3.58 FIP)
CL: Chad Green - R (73.0 IP, 146 ERA+, 66 FIP-, 1.6 WAR)

Some guesswork here still.  I know we'll be solid in innings 7-9.  Hoping we have quality all the way through if needed.

The Lineup: (ZiPS in bold)
C: J.T. Realmuto - YOS 2 (563 PA, 97 OPS+, +1 at C, 2.8 WAR)
1B: Carlos Santana# - 2018 (603 PA, 132 OPS+, +2 at 1B, 3.3 WAR)
2B: Ian Kinsler - 2020 (584 PA, 101 OPS+, +9 at 2B, 3.0 WAR)
3B: Anthony Rendon - LTC 2022 (123 wRC+, .365 wOBA)
SS: Addison Russell - YOS 3 (96 wRC+, .324 wOBA)
LF: Brett Phillips* - R (534 PA, 87 OPS+, +5 in CF, 1.6 WAR)
CF: Billy Hamilton# - YOS6 (588 PA, 75 OPS+, +12 in CF, 2.3 WAR)
RF: Aaron Altherr - YOS 2 (468 PA, 103 OPS+, +4 in RF, 1.4 WAR)
DH: Corey Dickerson* - YOS 5 (572 PA, 113 OPS+, +2 in LF, 1.8 WAR)


C: Russell Martin - 2018* (402 PA, 99 OPS+, +3 at C, 2.4 WAR)
3B/SS: Matt Duffy - YOS 3 (444 PA, 92 OPS+, -1 at SS, 1.3 WAR)
2B/3B/SS: Johan Camargo# - R (81 wRC+, .299 wOBA)
OF: Jeremy Hazelbaker* - YOS 2 (75 wRC+, .298 wOBA)
OF: Brian Goodwin* - YOS 2 (84 wRC+, .305 wOBA)
1B: Free Agent/Trade

The lineup is trickling in right now, but Altherr will likely see VG range in the corner, which is fantastic for his value overall.  That Carlos Santana projection is nuts, but we'll absolutely take it!  ZiPS thinks Realmuto/Martin will provide about 3.5 WAR over the course of a full season.

Overall Outlook: Still a lot of question marks, but so far, so good.
« Last Edit: 22 Jan 2018 8:31:29 PM by Royals JC »
Jon Carney - Kansas City Royals GM

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Royals JC

  • Jon Carney
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Re: Looking Ahead
« Reply #1 on: 3 Oct 2017 11:32:00 PM »
I think the Royals may be okay again next year.  I was worried for awhile this season....fWAR numbers coming later, but kind of excited to see some guys I drafted start to take the next step!
Jon Carney - Kansas City Royals GM

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Re: 2018 Royals
« Reply #2 on: 12 Nov 2017 5:38:19 PM »
Updated with (some surprising) Steamer Projections.
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Royals JC

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Re: 2018 Royals
« Reply #3 on: 5 Jan 2018 10:25:44 AM »
Luis Severino and Aaron Nola =  :-* :-* :-*

Need some hitting projections to start rolling in.
Jon Carney - Kansas City Royals GM

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